So Glum At The CIA
By Alan Nathan
Published January 19, 2005
a wing of the Central Intelligence Agency that has
proven itself quite adroit when
chronicling facts, but has demonstrated all the reasoning skills of a
banana split. The National Intelligence Council of the CIA now reports
that Iraq has replaced Afghanistan as the new haven for al-Qaida terrorists.
It further asserts that US opposition to these terrorists has actually
helped them by making Iraq not only a training ground for terror, but
also a tool for recruitment and“ technical skill enhancement” that
will eventually culminate into a disbursement mechanism whereby its survivors
can then return to their respective homelands to spread newly cultivated
killing skills. The NIC is essentially contending that we’ve created
more terrorists by fighting terrorists. Are we to believe that if left
unchallenged, they would be crushed by the relentless blows of our acquiescence?
Apparently the new recommended policy is: in response to an attack we
should not attack because we might be attacked.
sensible for our intelligent community to assess
worse case scenarios. But it’s irresponsible
not to include in those scenarios the formidable
realities that confront our enemies. Failure to factor
in US continued opposition along with its own “technical
skill enhancement” renders a projection that
is not so much a ‘worse-case’ as it is
an exaggerated case causing more harm than good.
pivotal example of our own technical advancement
is the Passive Millimeter Wave Technology, which
allows us to detect suicide bombers from 15 to 150
feet away even when these individuals are amongst
hundreds. There are few weapons available to the
terrorists that have proven as vexing as the lone
bomber with a belt who can surreptitiously blend
in with a crowd before blowing himself up. This very
portable technology is now beyond the prototype stage
and has been provided additional money by Congress
to the Pentagon. Once into production and implementation,
it could effectively neutralize what has for too
long been their main advantage.
does it help the accuracy of ‘worse-case’ scenarios
to stress the terrorists’ evolution at the
exclusion of America’s? Incomplete pictures
provide less to see – not more.